U.S. President Election"s and Chairman Erdoğan

 U.S. President Election"s and Chairman Erdoğan

If we assume that the political dynamics and voter trends of the United States and Turkey are quite similar, Mr. When we make an assessment about Erdogan's results in the US elections based on the following possibilities, 

1. Conservative and Religious States:

Sec. We can imagine that Erdogan's conservative, nationalist and religious identity may coincide with some of the Republican base in the United States. Therefore, it can be expected that he will receive support from conservative and religiously sensitive states such as Texas, Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Kentucky, Oklahoma, South Dakota and North Dakota.

2. Rural and Economic Populism:

Sec. Erdogan has strong support in rural areas in Turkey. In the US, too, he may find support from states that are prone to economic populism and nationalism in rural areas, especially places such as Montana, Wyoming, Arkansas and Missouri.

3. Poor Performance in Urban and Liberal States:

We can predict that Erdogan's support may be low in major cities in the United States, in states such as New York, California, Washington, where liberals and democratic-leaning voters are strong. In these states, the segments that are close to the Democrats in the US elections, Mr. It may be far from Erdogan's political line.

4. Working Class and Nationalist Emphasis:

Sec.Erdogan's emphasis on nationalist and domestic production may also attract the interest of some segments in industrial states such as Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, where the working class is strong in the United States. But there are also areas in these states where Democrats are popular, such as trade union support, social welfare policies. That's why these states can be uncertain.

5. Mixed States in Central America and the South:

While some of Mr. Erdogan's nationalist rhetoric and foreign policy stance may find support in states with mixed trends, such as Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina, he may face difficulties on immigration policies and human rights issues.

Approximate Result Prediction:

Mr. Erdogan's support map in the United States may overlap with red states where the Republican candidate is strong, but he may receive low support in big cities and coastal states (especially in the West and Northeast), given the special sensitivities of each state.

According to these assumptions, Mr. It can be predicted that Erdogan will be able to reach approximately 250-280 delegates, but he may have difficulty getting the 270 delegates that are enough to win. These assumptions deal with the political similarities in Turkey and the United States hypothetically; in reality, there are many differences.